A standing snapshot across a few angles — freshly filed, freshly re-rated, climbing, at risk. Anonymised down to bands; open any card to reveal the name and the full read.
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Food & beverage service is the week's clearest signal: distress-side concentration there hit 5.6x normal share (24 firms) — nearly triple the intensity of any exit-side sector — with Yorkshire & North East also over-represented on the distress book (1.5x, 16 firms). Exit-leaning activity was smaller and more spread (led by Motor trade at 2.6x, only 9 firms), so it reads as thinner evidence. One caveat: 89% of this week's re-ratings landed on a single day, so this is an early snapshot worth watching, not yet a trend.
Food & beverage service is the story: 6.4x its usual concentration among distress-leaning re-ratings (26 firms), against a much thinner 1.8x showing on the exit side — a sector splitting hard in one direction on live register events alone. Re-ratings jumped sharply day-on-day (745 vs 72), but with 96% landing on a single day this is an early snapshot, not a trend, so treat it as a flag to watch rather than a call. Motor trade's 2.3x exit-lean lift is the next firmest signal, though on only 7 companies it wants more data before leaning on it.
This week the model moved 0 companies up ▲ and 0 down ▼ in sale-likelihood.
A fresh handful from the scored universe.
Companies the model re-scored this week as new filings and control changes landed.
Filed a new set of annual accounts in the last month — the yearly data refresh.
Highest failure risk — the private-credit lens.